Canadian officials see rising odds that Trump will leave NAFTA

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Canada is trying to convince the U.S.to remain in the North American Free Trade Agreement in the most Canadian way ever - with an outreach blitz that some Canadian officials call the "hug an American campaign", the Wall Street Journal reports.

The next round of NAFTA talks - the sixth so far - will be held in Montreal from January 23 to 28. Kansas City Southern fell as much as 4.6 per cent after the report, its biggest loss in more than eight months.

Peer Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd sank 3.3% in Toronto and CSX Corp. slipped 1.7%. The U.S. dollar also strengthened against Canada's loonie and the Mexico's peso.

In response to the Reuters story, the White House said "there has been no change in the President's position on NAFTA", which offered little clarity as Trump has routinely threatened to walk away if he can not extract concessions from the other two trade partners.

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The energy group edged down 0.1 percent, although Crescent Point Energy Corp rose 4.5 percent to 10.94 Canadian dollars. "A US withdrawal from NAFTA would cost the USA pork industry $1.5 billion". They have so far yielded little firm indication of whether a deal can be reached to update the pact, the officials said.

"The market's been too complacent regarding Nafta termination risk for too long", said Bipan Rai, a Toronto-based foreign-exchange and macro strategist at Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce.

Canada, along with Mexico, has so far rejected some of the Trump administration's hardline demands and refused to offer counter-proposals - and warned there won't be a deal unless the USA puts water in its wine.

AMIA has a preliminary production forecast of over 4 million units for 2018, said Solis, a 6 percent increase in output over previous year. "The timing on this, while potentially unfortunate as we are in a trade negotiation with USA, but the WTO moves poisonously slowly", Dawson said of Canada's move.

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Any of the three countries can pull out of NAFTA if they give six months' notice, but the agreement remains in effect.

"The Canadian government is aware of the possibility that President Trump may announce the United States' withdrawal from NAFTA", a senior government official said on condition of anonymity.

"What's surprising to me is that everybody is so surprised".

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